Prediction Market Funds

Invest in trends instead of betting on beliefs.

Get passive event risk exposure without gambling on binary prediction market contracts.

Browse the Funds

ETFs for prediction markets.

Passive · Automated · Liquid
Passive Investment

Buy and hold.

Set it and forget it, no redemption or expiration, keep it as long as you like.

Automated

Prebuilt index tracking strategy.

Your asset is part of a portfolio programmed to follow a specific risk profile.

Convenient Form Factor

One token. Buy or sell.

The whole basket trades as asset. Enter or exit positions in a single order.

Market Structure

How it works

The Prediction Market Fund (PMF) is a vault contract that holds event contracts and has the power to mint and redeem shares. Approved distributors mint shares directly while a network of solvers allow the PMF to place orders on the marketplace.

THE FLOW OF CAPITALORDERSSHARESCAPITAL INSHARES OUTINTENTSFILLSPOSITIONSPRICESFIG. I — THE DISTRIBUTIONFIG. II — THE AUTHORIZED PARTICIPANTFIG. III — THE PMFFIG. IV — THE SOLVERSFIG. V — THE MARKETPLACE
Distribution

Retail Point of Sale

Consumers may buy and sell PMF shares that represent ownership of the vault assets.

Authorized Participant (AP)

Creation and redemption

Authorized participants place orders in bulk to distribute to retail and stabilize the supply.

Vault

The Prediction Market Fund.

The vault handles minting and redemption as well as responsibility for issuing orders to follow the advertized strategy.

Solvers

Network of traders

Solvers compete on price for the right to execute buy and sell orders for the vault.

Marketplace

Event contracts are bought and sold

Neutral prediction market platform like Polymarket, that creates and manages event contract trading

Take On a Role

We need Authorized Participant and Solvers now. Full specifications and integration guides will live at docs.pmf.finance.

Operator Docs