An explained view of the geopolitical event prices covered by Stability.
Stability follows a reviewed basket of selected prediction-market outcomes. The published basket uses liquidity-based weights and is scheduled to update hourly. Its coverage is limited to the markets shown below.
The performance index tracks the basket through time. The price gauge averages its selected-outcome prices across different event definitions and deadlines. Liquidity affects basket weights; it does not establish geopolitical importance or forecast accuracy.
| Market | Leg | Price | Weight | 24h Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading basket... | ||||
Markets algorithmically searched to match the stability theme, avoid excluded topics, and pass liquidity, volume, spread, expiry, and tradability checks before they can enter the reviewed universe.
Candidates enter the active index universe only after manager review of the selected event. Markets may be reviewed multiple times as conditions change and new markets are added no sooner than a daily basis.
Execution capacity supplies C, using the largest available liquidity or depth measure. Final weights normalize each leg by total basket capacity, so larger executable markets carry more of the basket.
Discovery starts from configured keyword and theme searches across live Polymarket markets. Live basket is capped at 50 markets.