A manager-curated measure of whether Elon Musk and his companies are doing well.
Managers select Polymarket outcomes that have a clear economic meaning for Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, X, Neuralink, or Elon Musk. Attention-only questions—such as tweet counts or media appearances—are excluded.
The index level tracks the basket’s performance from a base of 100. The gauge shows the basket’s current liquidity-weighted favorable probability on a 0–100 scale. Higher values mean the selected favorable outcomes are becoming more likely.
Units continuity keeps additions, removals, and liquidity reweights from creating artificial index performance.
| Market | Category | Favorable Outcome | Best Ask | 5¢ Ask Liquidity | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading basket... | |||||
One manager approves an economically meaningful event, its favorable binary outcome, and a category. Ambiguous or attention-only markets receive no index weight.
Raw weight uses the USDC ask liquidity available in the selected favorable token from its best ask through five cents above it.
Each market is capped at 30%. Excess weight is redistributed proportionally by execution capacity across the remaining constituents.
Prices and liquidity refresh hourly. Resolved markets leave automatically; newly approved events enter at the next hourly print.
This is an evolving, manager-curated pilot benchmark. It is not an investable fund and does not represent a promise of future performance.